6 Sept · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kunchurov
ELO 1272
FormWWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kunchurov
SK
🇺🇦Stanislav Kuzko
ELO 1189
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kunchurov
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H21-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-8)