6 Sept · 09:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Mykola Slozka
ELO 1538
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gil
TG
🇺🇦Taras Gil
ELO 1604
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slozka🌟Gil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (45)
Fair odds · Gil
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~72 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)