6 Sept · 08:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1485
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1511
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H22-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.