6 Sept · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1513
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Shmyndra
ON
🇺🇦Oleh Napirko
ELO 1461
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Napirko🌟Shmyndra rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (64)
Fair odds · Shmyndra
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)