6 Sept · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Anton Danylov
ELO 1310
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lysyi
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1355
FormLLWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lysyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)