6 Sept · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AD
🇺🇦Anton Danylov
ELO 1310
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Danylov
SZ
🇺🇦Stanislav Zherykhin
ELO 1279
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Danylov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.