6 Sept · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VT
🇺🇦Volodymyr Tatarnykov
ELO 1584
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Aristarkhov
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1646
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H58-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-38)