6 Sept · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ON
🇺🇦Oleh Napirko
ELO 1461
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Napirko
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kalenyk
ELO 1408
FormWWLLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kalenyk
Fair odds · Napirko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H17-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)