6 Sept · 10:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1564
FormWLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kovalchuk
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kalenyk
ELO 1408
FormWWLLL
66%
34%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kalenyk🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (173)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+156
H2H34-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-27)