6 Sept · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1646
FormWWWWW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Aristarkhov
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1355
FormWLLLL
78%
22%
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~73 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
27%
3-2
18%
2-3
9%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+291
H2H37-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+291)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-5)