6 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AD
🇺🇦Anton Danylov
ELO 1310
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1352
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.