6 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1560
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Orlowski
PO
🇺🇦Petr Orlowski
ELO 1596
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Merkl covers set handicap as underdog 66% (129)
Fair odds · Orlowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H22-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.