6 Sept · 09:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1564
FormWLWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kovalchuk
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1415
FormLWLWL
65%
35%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vlasenko🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (173)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+149
H2H23-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-15)