6 Sept · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Mykola Slozka
ELO 1538
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slozka
RB
🇺🇦Roman Bihun
ELO 1520
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Bihun stays under total as underdog 72% (18)
Fair odds · Slozka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.