6 Sept · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1564
FormWLWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Kovalchuk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksii Mitla
ELO 1387
FormWWWWL
68%
32%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mitla🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (173)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+177
H2H29-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-12)