6 Sept · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hanke
ELO 1542
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Brichacek
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1576
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hanke🌟Hanke covers set handicap as underdog 68% (65)
Fair odds · Brichacek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.