7 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1271
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lysyi
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1331
FormLLWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Lysyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H16-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-8)