7 Sept · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1560
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1584
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Veigl🌟Veigl covers set handicap as underdog 71% (55)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H15-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.