7 Sept · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1271
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zherykhin
SZ
🇺🇦Stanislav Zherykhin
ELO 1294
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Zherykhin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.