7 Sept · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1494
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Leonenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1480
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Leonenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (95)
Fair odds · Leonenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 25% · 4.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.