7 Sept · 09:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1450
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kheresko
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1459
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
🌟Oliynyk stays under total as underdog 66% (44)
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.