7 Sept · 07:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1463
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Maksymkiv
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1459
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Maksymkiv
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H26-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.