7 Sept · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Korniichuk
ELO 1511
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Korniichuk
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1469
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
🌟Korniichuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (40)
Fair odds · Korniichuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H21-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)