7 Sept · 07:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1450
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kryvoshyi
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1481
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
🌟Oliynyk stays under total as underdog 66% (44)
Fair odds · Kryvoshyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H16-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.