7 Sept · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1560
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zelinka
MZ
🇺🇦Matus Zelinka
ELO 1630
FormLWLWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Veigl🌟Zelinka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (64)
Fair odds · Zelinka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H14-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-9)