7 Sept · 06:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yurii Kolos
ELO 1500
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vorsuliak
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1547
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
🌟Kolos stays under total as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Vorsuliak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)