7 Sept · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1457
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1547
FormWWLWL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mejzlik🌟Mejzlik covers set handicap as underdog 72% (75)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+90
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)