7 Sept · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1331
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Badanin
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Badanin
ELO 1420
FormWLWLW
41%
59%
🌟Badanin stays under total as favourite 69% (26)
Fair odds · Badanin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H20-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-8)