7 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PH
🇺🇦Petr Hlina
ELO 1477
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hlina
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1457
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mejzlik🌟Hlina rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (25)
Fair odds · Hlina
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.