7 Sept · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1493
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vorsuliak
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1547
FormWLWLW
44%
56%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 64% (145)
Fair odds · Vorsuliak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H35-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)