7 Sept · 10:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1450
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Maksymkiv
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1463
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
🌟Oliynyk stays under total as underdog 66% (44)
Fair odds · Maksymkiv
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 27% · 3.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H1-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.