7 Sept · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yurii Kolos
ELO 1500
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Khomenko
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Khomenko
ELO 1564
FormWWWLL
43%
57%
🌟Kolos stays under total as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Khomenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)