7 Sept · 09:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1464
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1469
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Melnykov stays under total as underdog 62% (127)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.