7 Sept · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Khomenko
ELO 1564
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Khomenko
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1556
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
🌟Khomenko stays under total as favourite 63% (68)
Fair odds · Khomenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.