7 Sept · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1541
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1546
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Kolesnykov covers set handicap as underdog 65% (81)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H35-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.