7 Sept · 10:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1556
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rodin
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1547
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorsuliak🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 66% (151)
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.