7 Sept · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1547
FormWWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Plyska
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1464
FormLWWWL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorel🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (114)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H38-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)