7 Sept · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1539
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kuzmenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1489
FormWWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Maliuk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (126)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H27-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-26)