7 Sept · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1480
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Martyniuk
AM
🇺🇦Andrii Martyniuk
ELO 1526
FormLWLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Martyniuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)