7 Sept · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1536
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Treschetka
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1459
FormWLWWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H19-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-16)