7 Sept · 11:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1443
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mytsyk
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1440
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (203)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.