7 Sept · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1493
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Khomenko
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Khomenko
ELO 1564
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 64% (145)
Fair odds · Khomenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H19-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)