7 Sept · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1472
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klymenko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1464
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Klymenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H9-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.