7 Sept · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LS
🇺🇦Libor Smazik
ELO 1527
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Smazik
PO
🇺🇦Pavel Oplt
ELO 1524
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Oplt🌟Oplt covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Smazik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.