7 Sept · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1613
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Semrad
PO
🇺🇦Pavel Oplt
ELO 1524
FormWLLLW
59%
41%
🌟Oplt covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Semrad
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)