7 Sept · 18:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇺🇦Dominik Marasek
ELO 1584
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Marasek
PO
🇺🇦Pavel Oplt
ELO 1524
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Oplt covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Marasek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)