10 Sept · 07:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FV
🇺🇦Fedir Voinarovskyi
ELO 1477
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Voinarovskyi
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1460
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Voinarovskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H11-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.