11 Sept · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viacheslav Simchuk
ELO 1512
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sideltsev
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Sideltsev
ELO 1594
FormLWLWL
41%
59%
🌟Simchuk stays under total as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Sideltsev
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)