11 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FH
🇺🇦Filip Husek
ELO 1451
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Husek
PM
🇺🇦Pavel Moulis
ELO 1438
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Moulis🌟Husek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Husek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.