11 Sept · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1599
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Volkov
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1525
FormWLWLW
58%
42%
🌟Karpenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (117)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H38-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-16)